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Starship Flight 12 Targeting Mid-May with Revised Trajectory | KeepTrack X Report

SpaceX eyes a mid-May Starship Flight 12 launch with a revised trajectory, while Falcon 9 adds 29 more Starlink satellites to a 10,280-working constellation.

SpaceX eyes a mid-May Starship Flight 12 launch with a revised trajectory, while Falcon 9 adds 29 more Starlink satellites to a 10,280-working constellation.

Latest Developments

SpaceX is targeting mid-May for Starship’s twelfth integrated flight test, with revised trajectory plans signaling meaningful changes from prior missions as the program pushes toward full reusability. On the Starlink front, the Starlink 10-38 mission successfully deployed 29 satellites from Cape Canaveral on May 1, continuing the steady cadence that has built the constellation to 10,280 operational satellites out of 10,296 in orbit across 11,877 total launched. Meanwhile, investor and industry attention is broadening beyond the constellation itself, with analysts examining the longer-term opportunity in orbital data center infrastructure that ventures like SpaceX are positioning to enable.

Space Safety

The current Starlink conjunction threat landscape shows four moderate-risk events concentrated within a six-day window in mid-April 2026, with the highest-risk conjunction involving STARLINK-33563 and COSMOS 2251 DEB at 0.012 km minimum range and 39.7% collision probability. No HIGH-risk conjunctions are currently flagged in the SOCRATES dataset; however, the prevalence of moderate-risk events with non-operational debris objects warrants continued monitoring. Additionally, TIP predictions indicate 10 Starlink satellites with imminent reentry decay epochs spanning May 1–4, 2026, with decay windows ranging from 1 minute to 2,880 minutes (48 hours), reflecting varying degrees of prediction uncertainty.

RiskStarlink SatOther ObjectStatusMin Range (km)Rel Speed (km/s)Max ProbTime of Closest Approach
MODERATESTARLINK-33563COSMOS 2251 DEBNon-operational0.01211.3180.3973Mon, 13 Apr 2026 21:44:26 UTC
MODERATESTARLINK-5601DELTA 1 DEBNon-operational0.0148.4990.3479Sat, 11 Apr 2026 06:26:32 UTC
MODERATESTARLINK-33680FLOCK 4G-17Operational0.02412.6270.1287Thu, 09 Apr 2026 13:55:36 UTC
MODERATESTARLINK-35339THEAOperational0.02214.1100.1272Sat, 11 Apr 2026 01:33:34 UTC
LOWSTARLINK-32841YAOGAN-43 01DOperational0.0389.4970.0672Sat, 11 Apr 2026 14:30:11 UTC
LOWSTARLINK-36431WT 1BUnknown0.0521.1530.0450Tue, 14 Apr 2026 13:45:48 UTC
LOWSTARLINK-32376OBJECT ADOperational0.04611.2430.0441Sun, 12 Apr 2026 08:38:10 UTC
LOWSTARLINK-30245SL-19 R/BNon-operational0.03714.3710.0441Tue, 07 Apr 2026 16:55:26 UTC
LOWSTARLINK-35657ION SCV-008Operational0.04113.9690.0390Sun, 12 Apr 2026 19:09:57 UTC
LOWSTARLINK-31383TEVEL2-7Operational0.03814.7460.0384Wed, 08 Apr 2026 19:55:14 UTC
SatelliteNORAD IDPredicted DecayWindow (min)InclinationLatLon
STARLINK-223848584May 01, 20:00 UTC153.0°30.0°106.6°
STARLINK-183246780May 02, 04:13 UTC1,08053.0°-46.3°20.6°
STARLINK-3273062447May 02, 17:20 UTC1,44053.2°-7.7°312.8°
STARLINK-434953044May 03, 03:10 UTC2,88097.6°7.1°233.8°
STARLINK-179946699May 03, 11:24 UTC2,88053.0°53.1°338.1°
STARLINK-3390663785May 03, 17:50 UTC2,88043.0°1.7°327.6°
STARLINK-197547573May 04, 08:47 UTC2,88053.0°31.9°59.0°
STARLINK-3176159615May 04, 08:48 UTC2,88043.0°0.6°57.9°
STARLINK-156746038May 04, 09:28 UTC2,88053.1°-52.4°105.6°
STARLINK-522854180May 04, 16:52 UTC2,88053.2°-47.2°277.3°

Detailed Coverage

SpaceX Eyes Mid-May Window for Starship Flight 12 with Revised Trajectory

SpaceX is preparing to return Starship to the skies with Flight 12 potentially just weeks away, following regulatory filings and airspace notices that point to a mid-May launch window. The mission is expected to feature a revised flight trajectory compared to previous attempts, a detail that suggests SpaceX engineers have implemented meaningful changes to the vehicle’s ascent profile or landing approach in response to lessons learned from Flights 10 and 11.

For satellite trackers and constellation watchers, a successful Starship flight remains critical to SpaceX’s long-term ambitions — the vehicle is slated to eventually launch next-generation Starlink V3 satellites in batch deployments far larger than current Falcon 9 missions can achieve. Every flight that advances Starship’s maturity brings that high-density deployment cadence closer to reality.

Read the full story: NASASpaceFlight


SpaceX opened May with a smooth Falcon 9 launch from Pad 40 at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station, lifting off at 2:06:10 p.m. EDT on May 1 carrying 29 Starlink broadband satellites on the Starlink 10-38 mission. The deployment adds to a constellation now standing at 10,296 satellites in orbit, of which 10,280 are actively working — a testament to the high operational efficiency SpaceX has maintained across the shell.

The booster’s recovery and the mission’s routine execution underscore how thoroughly Falcon 9 has industrialized LEO access. With Starship still in development, Falcon 9 remains the sole workhorse sustaining Starlink’s incremental growth, and missions like 10-38 keep the network’s capacity and redundancy creeping steadily upward ahead of any future V3 generation expansion.

Read the full story: Spaceflight Now


Orbital Data Centers: The Investment Opportunity Forming Behind the Hype

While SpaceX’s proposed orbital computing infrastructure remains years from operational reality, analysts and investors are already mapping the secondary opportunities it could unlock — from edge AI processing to sovereign cloud alternatives for governments unwilling to rely on terrestrial hyperscalers. SpaceNews reports that capital attention is beginning to shift toward ventures positioned to sit on top of orbital data center capacity once it exists, even as the underlying platforms are still in early conceptual stages.

For Starlink observers, the relevance is direct: SpaceX has floated the idea of integrating computing nodes into future satellite generations, which would transform the constellation from a pure connectivity play into a distributed processing network. If that vision advances, the orbital mechanics and slot-management challenges tracked by tools like KeepTrack would become as important to enterprise IT planners as they currently are to space situational awareness analysts.

Read the full story: SpaceNews

Constellation Status

There have been no changes to the Starlink constellation since the last check. The constellation currently consists of 11,877 total launched satellites, with 10,296 remaining in orbit, of which 10,280 are operational, while 1,581 have decayed from orbit.

  • Total Launched: 11877
  • Total On Orbit: 10296
  • Total Working: 10280

Track Starlink satellites in real-time: Track Starlink


B1049

B1049 is a retired Falcon 9 first stage booster who completed 10 successful orbital missions between 2018-2022. Known for exceptional fuel efficiency (4.72% above fleet average), B1049 has landed on both drone ships and landing zones, achieving a perfect touchdown record despite COMPLETELY UNRELIABLE weather predictions.

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