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B1049

ESA Buys Dedicated Crew Dragon Mission for 4 Astronauts | KeepTrack X Report

ESA is purchasing a dedicated SpaceX Crew Dragon flight to send 4 European astronauts to the ISS ahead of the station's planned retirement.

ESA is purchasing a dedicated SpaceX Crew Dragon flight to send 4 European astronauts to the ISS ahead of the station's planned retirement.

Latest Developments

The European Space Agency is making a bold move to maximize its crewed spaceflight experience before the International Space Station retires, purchasing a dedicated SpaceX Crew Dragon mission to fly four ESA astronauts simultaneously — a significant escalation from the agency’s typical single-seat arrangements. Meanwhile, Elon Musk continues to articulate sweeping lunar ambitions, describing a future “self-growing city” on the Moon, though analysts remain skeptical about the timeline and logistics behind the vision. With Starlink’s constellation standing at 10,116 operational satellites out of 10,126 in orbit across 11,641 total launched, SpaceX’s operational tempo remains the backbone funding these broader exploration goals. This week’s coverage spans crewed spaceflight diplomacy, long-range settlement rhetoric, and the commercial partnerships keeping SpaceX at the center of global space access.

Space Safety

The current Starlink conjunction and reentry threat environment shows moderate activity with one elevated-risk event warranting attention. SOCRATES is tracking 10 Starlink-involved conjunctions through late March 2026, with only one rated MODERATE risk: STARLINK-32732 approaching PELICAN-6 on Mar 26, 04:15 UTC with a maximum collision probability of 11.22%. Additionally, eight Starlink satellites are predicted to reenter within the next few days, with decay epochs ranging from Mar 26 through Mar 29, 2026.

RiskStarlink SatOther ObjectStatusMin Range (km)Rel Speed (km/s)Max ProbTime of Closest Approach
MODERATESTARLINK-32732PELICAN-6Operational0.037.9210.1122Mar 26, 04:15 UTC
LOWSTARLINK-31195SL-24 DEBNon-operational0.0347.3780.0912Mar 26, 14:44 UTC
LOWSTARLINK-36822SITRO-AIS 47Operational0.02914.420.0713Mar 27, 15:33 UTC
LOWSTARLINK-30299ICESAT-2Operational0.0419.1750.0593Mar 30, 17:40 UTC
LOWSTARLINK-6295NUSAT-33 (ALBANIA-2)Operational0.0467.4380.0521Mar 27, 05:52 UTC
LOWSTARLINK-31465OBJECT ADOperational0.03614.2150.0493Mar 29, 14:05 UTC
LOWSTARLINK-36032SPIPOperational0.0413.2310.0454Mar 31, 05:07 UTC
LOWSTARLINK-34214HERMES-3Operational0.0516.3290.0439Mar 28, 04:12 UTC
LOWSTARLINK-35408POLYITAN-1Operational0.04611.4110.0423Mar 29, 23:19 UTC
LOWSTARLINK-1655HORYU-4Partially Operational0.0596.0640.0337Mar 27, 08:15 UTC
SatelliteNORAD IDPredicted DecayWindow (min)InclinationLatLon
STARLINK-248848145Mar 26, 13:52 UTC84053°12°358.3°
STARLINK-1168763555Mar 26, 18:33 UTC144043°-29.2°161.2°
STARLINK-181446712Mar 26, 19:50 UTC72053°-53.1°243.3°
STARLINK-3129959080Mar 27, 08:32 UTC144043°43.1°217.9°
STARLINK-176546344Mar 27, 14:20 UTC288053°-50.1°108°
STARLINK-405753269Mar 28, 11:43 UTC144053.2°-18.7°60.6°
STARLINK-139845699Mar 28, 13:44 UTC144053°-11.4°358.3°
STARLINK-175246338Mar 29, 04:00 UTC288053°26.7°138.1°

Detailed Coverage

ESA Plans Dedicated Crew Dragon Flight to Fly Four Astronauts to the ISS

The European Space Agency is negotiating the purchase of an entire SpaceX Crew Dragon mission — not just individual seats — to send four of its astronauts to the International Space Station in a single flight. The move represents a strategic push by ESA to accumulate crewed microgravity experience at scale before the ISS is deorbited, likely in the early 2030s, and signals growing European reliance on commercial American launch providers to fill the gap left by reduced Soyuz access following geopolitical tensions with Russia.

The dedicated mission would be a landmark for ESA’s human spaceflight program, which has historically been constrained to one or two seats per mission rotation. By block-booking an entire Dragon capsule, ESA could conduct coordinated science campaigns and accelerate astronaut proficiency ahead of its planned contributions to the Lunar Gateway and future deep-space endeavors. No launch date has been officially confirmed, but the mission is being structured to fly before ISS retirement.

Read the full story: Space.com


Musk’s Lunar City Vision: Ambition Without a Blueprint?

Elon Musk has renewed calls for a permanent, “self-growing” human city on the Moon, framing it as a near-term civilizational priority alongside Mars colonization. The remarks have drawn renewed scrutiny from analysts who note a persistent gap between Musk’s publicly stated timelines and actual program milestones — a pattern that has played out with Starship, crewed Mars missions, and earlier Falcon Heavy projections.

The core question analysts are pressing is logistical: how does a self-sustaining lunar settlement get bootstrapped, and with what resources, regulatory framework, and international cooperation? SpaceX’s Starship is the obvious candidate launch vehicle, and with NASA’s Artemis program already contracting the vehicle for Human Landing System duties, the hardware pathway exists in outline form. However, in-situ resource utilization, life support scaling, and the economics of lunar construction remain largely unsolved engineering problems that no current SpaceX roadmap publicly addresses in detail.

Read the full story: SpaceNews

Constellation Status

The Starlink constellation remains stable with no changes since the last check. As of March 23, 2026, SpaceX has launched a total of 11,641 Starlink satellites, with 10,126 currently in orbit and 10,116 actively working to provide global internet coverage. The remaining 1,515 satellites have decayed and reentered Earth’s atmosphere as part of the constellation’s natural operational cycle.

  • Total Launched: 11641
  • Total On Orbit: 10126
  • Total Working: 10116

Track Starlink satellites in real-time: Track Starlink


B1049

B1049 is a retired Falcon 9 first stage booster who completed 10 successful orbital missions between 2018-2022. Known for exceptional fuel efficiency (4.72% above fleet average), B1049 has landed on both drone ships and landing zones, achieving a perfect touchdown record despite COMPLETELY UNRELIABLE weather predictions.

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